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Introduction/methods

Summary

The oceans face a range of complex challenges for which the impacts on society are highly uncertain but mostly negative. Tackling these challenges is testing society’s capacity to mobilise transformative action, engendering a sense of powerlessness. Envisaging positive but realistic visions of the future, and considering how current knowledge, resources, and technology could be used to achieve these futures, may lead to greater action to achieve sustainable transformations. Future Seas (www.FutureSeas2030.org) brought together researchers across career stages, Indigenous Peoples and environmental managers to develop scenarios for 12 challenges facing the oceans, leveraging interdisciplinary knowledge to improve society’s capacity to purposefully shape the direction of marine socialecological systems over the UN Decade of Ocean Science for Sustainable Development (2021–2030). We describe and reflect on Future Seas, providing guidance for co-developing scenarios in interdisciplinary teams tasked with exploring ocean futures. We detail the narrative development for two futures: our current trajectory based on published evidence, and a more sustainable future, consistent with the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals, which is technically achievable using existing and emerging knowledge. Presentation of Business-as-usual and More Sustainable futures—together—allows communication of both trajectories, whilst also highlighting achievable, sustainable versions of the future. The advantages of the interdisciplinary approach taken include: (1) integrating different perspectives on solutions, (2) capacity to explore interactions between Life Under Water (Goal 14) and other SDGs, and (3) cross-disciplinary learning. This approach allowed participants to conceptualise shared visions of the future and codesign transformative pathways to achieving those futures.

Infographic

Lead Investigators

Kirsty-Nash

Kirsty Nash

Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies / CMS

Anchor

Gretta Pecl

Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies / CMS

Co-Authors

Meet our fellow team members who contribute to the success of this project.
Karen-Alexander

Karen Alexander

Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies / CMS
Jessica-Melbourne-Thomas

Jess Melbourne-Thomas

CSIRO Oceans & Atmosphere / CMS
Camilla Novaglio

Camilla Novaglio

Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies / CMS
Carla Sbrocchi

Carla Sbrocchi

University of Technology Sydney / CMS
Cecilia_Villanueva

Cecilia Villanueva

Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies / CMS

future seas

FUTURE SEAS is a unique collaboration , spear-headed by the Centre for Marine Socioecology, of over 100 researchers from the University of Tasmania (UTAS), the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) and other institutions
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